Bad news is I wasn’t able to get all the fight analysis posted or final bet weightings before the card started. Good news is of the two fights I posted picks / analysis for I was right on both! So maybe it all worked out for the better in the end?!?
I will not include this card’s results when mentioning my trackrecord on the site go-forward (it would make me look better & there is a case to include the two names I posted analysis / weightings for, but I think it would be debatable if I did so let’s err on the side of caution), but I thought some might want to know where I ended up on the card anyways. Net winnings totalled ~$2,820 on total bets placed of ~$3,900 (~72%). $1,300 on Yahya paid off at +100, $1,000 on McDonald at +155 was lost, $800 on Omielanczuk paid off at +167 and $800 on Nakamura paid off at +155.
Looking back at the card asking what I might do different next time, biggest mistake was not placing simple bets I’d had already done work on (like the Nicholson fight). Outside of that I felt really lucky to win the Omielanczuk bout – I like betting against +40 year old fighters back after a long hiatus who get the nestalgic premium, but even after that was all factored in Omielanczuk is mediocre enough the line was probably close to fair. McDonald was another one I got nostalgic on, and should have weighed his sub-par first round stand-up / chin in his last fight more heavlily than I did. I still think he was worth some at +155, just probably not $1,000 against a dude with the handle “hands of stone”.
Anyways, there it is folks. We have a card this weekend so you’ll hear back from me shortly.