UFC Fight Night 99 – November 19, 2016 – Post-Fight Summary

Ended the card down $646. Only changes post pre-fight summary was addition of $470 on Volkhov at +130 (which worked out) and $268 on Mustafaev at +130 (which didn’t work out). I was right on the value thing with unpopular cards here & this card didn’t work well for the dog, which prompted me to run correlations of the strategy based on ppv / fox viewership to see if there’s a strong enough R2 to change things. Will let you know if that’s the case.

UFC Fight Night 99 – November 19, 2016 – Pre-Fight Summary

I’m of the belief cards with relatively low interest tend to have lines priced more accurately, thinking sharps have more to do with setting the price than ‘dumb’ money coming in. With +25 UFC fights scheduled today, I think FN 99 could be one of those cards so I’ve decided to bet a lower percentage of the roll than I would typically on the strategy. Also, I didn’t have time to do the work I needed to make any conviction bets so am spreading it around fairly evenly. ~$1,538 total bets in more detail below:

  • $250 Ho Kwak at +180.
  • $250 Dudieva at +180.
  • $250 Yakovlev at +150.
  • $250 Godbeer at +130.
  • $250 Bagautinov at +180.
  • $134 Marshman at +210.
  • $134 Lobov at +210.
  • $20 Hall within distance at +650.